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Red75
325521.2
79098.2
97133.5
Blue51
170021.7
328811.4
654612.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66432060801007551

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
33.50.8
34.335.1
Auto5.9
Teleop18.3
End9.3
red by 11.9
1700
#11
21.70.7
21.422.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Second
21.20.8
18.219.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End7.7
red by 8.6
6546
#15
12.50.7
8.49.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End3.1
Third
7909
#38
8.23.2
8.211.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 3.1
3288
#47
11.40.8
11.412.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed