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Red45
459816.1
79059.7
593324.0
Blue10
71518.5
597410.6
328913.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43401020305060704510

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.3
18.318.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.6
End8.5
red by 10.6
3289
#25
13.43.1
13.910.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Second
16.10.5
12.913.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End3.9
red by 5.6
5974
#27
10.63.1
10.37.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End3.5
Third
7905
#40
9.70.5
9.29.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.8
End1.4
red by 1.2
7151
#42
8.53.1
13.310.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed