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Red44
30068.4
297221.4
304512.5
Blue70
79069.8
654612.5
347829.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4946304060704470

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#22
21.40.5
18.618.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End4.6
blue by 7.9
29.40.4
26.627.0
Auto3.1
Teleop18.1
End8.2
Second
3045
#37
12.50.6
13.212.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End4.1
Level
6546
#15
12.50.4
9.19.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End3.1
Third
3006
#43
8.40.9
14.213.3
Auto4.7
Teleop1.0
End2.8
blue by 1.4
7906
#36
9.80.7
8.28.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsEarned