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Red45
458510.2
507112.8
406814.6
Blue78
320018.3
641121.9
359821.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40521020306070804578

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#17
14.60.5
16.316.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End3.3
blue by 7.3
6411
#24
21.92.8
13.316.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End6.0
Second
5071
#29
12.80.8
11.512.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End2.4
blue by 8.9
21.71.9
18.620.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End7.8
Third
4585
#32Sur
10.20.5
10.010.5
Auto2.2
Teleop5.0
End3.0
blue by 8.0
3200
#46Sur
18.31.7
17.519.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsEarned