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Red35
79098.2
507112.8
670615.6
Blue91
79069.8
133922.9
97133.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41672060801003591

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6706
#34
15.60.4
15.915.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
blue by 17.9
971
#2
33.51.2
35.536.7
Auto5.9
Teleop18.3
End9.3
Second
5071
#29
12.80.4
12.512.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End2.4
blue by 10.1
22.91.2
20.421.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End6.3
Third
7909
#38
8.20.4
10.29.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 1.6
7906
#36
9.82.1
7.79.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed14%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsEarned