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Red54
406814.6
654612.5
641121.9
Blue30
592412.9
79059.7
32396.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46310102040506070805430

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6411
#24
21.91.2
16.317.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End6.0
red by 9.1
5924
#28
12.90.1
10.010.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Second
4068
#17
14.60.7
17.217.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End3.3
red by 5.0
7905
#40
9.70.1
10.510.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.8
End1.4
Third
6546
#15
12.50.7
9.710.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End3.1
red by 6.3
3239
#48
6.30.1
8.78.8
Auto4.7
Teleop1.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed