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Red42
328913.4
170021.7
458510.2
Blue18
438815.1
71518.5
54308.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473910203060704218

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#11
21.70.2
22.622.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
red by 6.5
4388
#12
15.11.3
16.215.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End4.3
Second
3289
#25
13.40.3
12.512.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End3.2
red by 4.9
7151
#42
8.52.1
9.67.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End1.8
Third
4585
#32
10.20.2
9.69.4
Auto2.2
Teleop5.0
End3.0
red by 1.9
5430
#33
8.41.3
11.29.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed