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Red74
494426.2
133214.4
324316.2
Blue50
324514.7
304512.5
320018.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555010203040607080907450

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#13
26.21.3
25.626.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End3.2
red by 8.0
3200
#46
18.30.2
19.519.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End3.6
Second
3243
#19
16.22.1
13.715.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End5.3
red by 1.5
3245
#30
14.70.2
15.115.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End3.2
Third
1332
#18
14.41.3
12.513.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End4.5
red by 1.8
3045
#37
12.50.2
12.913.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed