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Red52
40123.4
307223.8
595013.5
Blue56
572423.1
393917.0
53919.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656240507080905256

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.2
24.123.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End7.1
red by 0.6
5724
#11
23.10.1
23.022.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End5.4
Second
401
#7
23.40.2
23.823.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End7.8
red by 4.2
539
#14
19.20.1
19.118.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End5.2
Third
5950
#26
13.50.2
13.713.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End2.9
blue by 3.5
3939
#10
17.00.1
16.816.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End4.3