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Red44
206815.1
325818.6
527916.0
Blue51
393917.0
450519.0
289017.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4853204060804451

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3258
#22
18.60.1
14.014.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4
blue by 0.4
4505
#20
19.00.1
17.817.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End3.2
Second
5279
#29
16.00.1
14.714.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End4.0
blue by 1.3
2890
#30
17.30.1
16.616.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End3.7
Third
2068
#31
15.10.1
16.316.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End2.9
blue by 1.8
3939
#10
17.00.1
15.615.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed48%HAB Docking oddsMissed