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Red34
446613.0
59548.9
619415.6
Blue50
108614.4
631213.9
206815.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404802060803450

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6194
#18
15.60.9
14.613.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End2.8
red by 0.5
2068
#31
15.10.3
16.316.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End2.9
Second
4466
#23
13.00.9
14.413.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.2
End4.2
blue by 1.5
1086
#28
14.40.3
16.717.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End4.1
Third
5954
#33
8.90.9
9.18.2
Auto4.3
Teleop2.7
End1.9
blue by 5.0
6312
#24
13.90.3
12.612.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed