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Red63
53919.2
580416.2
61925.8
Blue48
325818.6
788618.9
450519.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6059405070806348

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#16
25.80.0
23.723.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.1
End4.7
red by 6.8
4505
#20
19.00.5
19.418.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.1
End3.2
Second
539
#14
19.20.0
16.716.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End5.2
red by 0.3
7886
#25
18.90.5
19.619.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End3.0
Third
5804
#27
16.20.0
16.916.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End2.0
blue by 2.4
3258
#22
18.60.5
17.016.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed