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Red56
393917.0
19158.3
307223.8
Blue52
595013.5
40123.4
32749.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5042203060705652

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.4
23.724.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End7.1
red by 0.3
401
#7
23.40.8
20.421.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End7.8
Second
3939
#10
17.00.4
16.016.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End4.3
red by 3.5
5950
#26
13.50.8
11.812.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End2.9
Third
1915
#34
8.30.4
7.47.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End2.0
blue by 1.5
3274
#13
9.80.8
7.98.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsEarned60%HAB Docking oddsEarned