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Red54
12216.9
99999.6
141319.5
Blue29
595011.3
393915.4
264014.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46480204060801005429

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.7
19.520.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End2.7
red by 4.1
3939
#13
15.41.1
17.816.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Second
122
#6
16.90.7
16.517.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.6
red by 2.4
2640
#16
14.51.1
15.814.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End5.4
Third
9.60.7
7.48.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.0
blue by 1.6
5950
#10
11.31.1
11.610.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed