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Red39
141319.5
99985.8
393915.4
Blue49
126220.3
99972.5
97719.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455602040801003949

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.3
20.320.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End2.7
blue by 0.8
20.30.3
22.922.7
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End4.8
Second
3939
#13
15.40.3
15.114.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End4.4
blue by 4.5
977
#7
19.90.3
22.822.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End3.4
Third
9998
#11
5.80.3
7.47.2
Auto3.6
Teleop0.9
End1.4
red by 3.3
9997
#15
2.50.4
7.16.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed15%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed