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Red39
126220.3
264014.5
12216.9
Blue69
99985.8
38420.0
572419.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594902040801003969

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.1
21.820.7
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End4.8
red by 0.2
384
#3
20.01.3
23.224.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.6
End6.8
Second
122
#6
16.91.1
17.716.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.6
blue by 2.6
19.41.3
17.718.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Third
2640
#16
14.51.1
16.615.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End5.4
red by 8.7
9998
#11
5.81.3
5.87.1
Auto3.6
Teleop0.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsMissed59%HAB Docking oddsEarned