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Red68
97719.9
141319.5
40129.2
Blue41
99972.5
393915.4
99999.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions813002040601001206841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#1
29.20.6
32.531.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.2
End6.6
red by 13.8
3939
#13
15.40.9
16.917.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Second
977
#7
19.90.6
24.624.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 10.3
9.60.9
5.76.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.0
Third
19.50.6
19.819.2
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End2.7
red by 17.0
9997
#15
2.51.4
5.56.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
23%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed