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Red66
210618.2
159919.7
580415.4
Blue59
554616.4
299821.8
179314.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56553040506070806659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.3
19.619.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End7.4
blue by 2.1
21.80.2
21.621.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Second
18.20.3
18.118.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End6.0
red by 1.8
5546
#14
16.40.2
16.216.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End3.0
Third
5804
#24
15.40.3
15.315.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End3.1
red by 1.1
1793
#15
14.30.2
14.214.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End1.5