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Red74
97718.5
680221.8
54014.7
Blue66
161019.3
38419.4
335915.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57593040507080907466

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.5
21.421.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.2
End6.1
red by 2.4
384
#3
19.40.3
20.220.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End6.3
Second
977
#4
18.50.4
18.218.6
Auto5.8
Teleop8.9
End3.8
blue by 0.8
19.30.2
20.020.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Third
540
#27
14.70.4
14.414.8
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End1.9
blue by 0.2
3359
#33
15.00.2
15.715.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End4.0