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Red29
179314.3
6175.6
680221.8
Blue24
580415.4
141316.6
325812.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373724283032343638402924

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.0
16.916.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.2
End6.1
red by 5.2
1413
#13
16.61.3
12.811.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End4.9
Second
1793
#15
14.31.0
8.97.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End1.5
blue by 1.1
5804
#24
15.41.3
11.610.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End3.1
Third
617
#29
5.61.0
8.98.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 6.8
3258
#22
12.51.3
11.09.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed