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Red26
108012.7
688213.4
595710.1
Blue35
12216.4
336115.6
554616.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33420102050602635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6882
#20
13.40.6
10.510.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End4.1
blue by 3.0
122
#17
16.40.5
13.513.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Second
1080
#23
12.70.6
9.89.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End2.8
blue by 3.7
5546
#14
16.40.5
14.914.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End3.0
Third
5957
#36
10.10.6
10.810.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End1.7
blue by 5.5
3361
#16
15.60.5
11.210.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed