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Red42
108614.7
61920.0
335915.0
Blue64
161019.3
126223.1
53912.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394302060804264

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#12
20.00.6
14.715.3
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End4.2
blue by 3.1
23.12.6
16.218.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End4.9
Second
3359
#33
15.00.6
9.39.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End4.0
blue by 4.3
19.32.6
14.717.3
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Third
1086
#31
14.70.6
12.413.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.7
End4.4
red by 2.6
539
#21
12.12.6
9.712.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsEarned