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Red43
633415.2
126223.1
580415.4
Blue51
97718.5
190815.5
54014.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4741305060704351

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.2
19.319.1
Auto3.6
Teleop14.7
End4.9
red by 4.5
977
#4
18.51.0
12.713.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.9
End3.8
Second
5804
#24
15.40.2
12.712.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End3.1
blue by 0.1
1908
#11
15.51.0
14.815.8
Auto2.9
Teleop8.1
End4.5
Third
6334
#19
15.20.2
12.712.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End3.4
red by 0.5
540
#27
14.71.0
11.512.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed