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Red48
15228.1
108012.7
12216.4
Blue30
53912.1
325812.5
688213.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393820253035455055604830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#17
16.41.0
14.115.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End4.0
red by 3.0
6882
#20
13.40.8
13.412.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End4.1
Second
1080
#23
12.71.0
11.912.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End2.8
red by 0.2
3258
#22
12.50.8
10.59.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Third
1522
#28
8.11.0
9.710.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 4.0
539
#21
12.10.8
12.912.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed