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Red36
42218.7
580415.4
108012.7
Blue71
34634.0
335915.0
59509.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455510203040506070803671

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#10
18.70.7
17.416.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End3.1
blue by 15.3
346
#1
34.01.6
28.430.1
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End10.0
Second
5804
#24
15.40.7
12.611.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End3.1
red by 0.4
3359
#33
15.01.6
13.214.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End4.0
Third
1080
#23
12.70.7
12.912.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End2.8
red by 3.1
5950
#34
9.61.6
10.612.2
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed62%HAB Docking oddsEarned