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Red35
53912.1
74299.7
595710.1
Blue47
54014.7
15228.1
633415.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2838102040503547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#21
12.10.5
12.212.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End3.8
blue by 3.1
6334
#19
15.20.1
12.512.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.1
End3.4
Second
5957
#36
10.10.5
6.26.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End1.7
blue by 4.6
540
#27
14.70.1
12.512.7
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End1.9
Third
7429
#25
9.70.5
8.69.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.5
red by 1.6
1522
#28
8.10.1
10.710.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed