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Red30
60215.3
54014.7
210618.2
Blue43
12216.4
74299.7
688213.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4140303545503043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.6
18.417.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End6.0
red by 1.8
122
#17
16.40.4
16.116.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Second
540
#27
14.70.6
14.313.6
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End1.9
red by 1.3
6882
#20
13.40.4
12.612.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End4.1
Third
6021
#35
5.30.7
6.05.3
Auto1.1
Teleop2.3
End1.9
blue by 4.4
7429
#25
9.70.4
9.39.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed