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Red45
97718.5
53912.1
59509.6
Blue58
159919.7
325812.5
299821.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41542030506070804558

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#4
18.50.0
17.417.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.9
End3.8
blue by 3.3
21.80.5
20.721.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Second
539
#21
12.10.0
11.911.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End3.8
blue by 7.6
19.70.5
18.719.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End7.4
Third
5950
#34
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.1
blue by 2.9
3258
#22
12.50.5
11.912.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed