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Red38
61215.6
188520.9
108614.5
Blue52
558717.9
62315.1
54014.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6056203040507080903852

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#10
20.91.2
21.119.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.8
End2.2
red by 3.0
17.90.3
20.620.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Second
612
#30
15.61.2
18.917.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End5.6
red by 0.5
623
#4
15.10.3
14.013.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.2
End3.8
Third
1086
#32
14.51.2
16.415.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End4.9
blue by 0.2
540
#18
14.70.3
18.518.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsEarned