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Red34
206811.2
12213.5
533818.5
Blue78
409912.3
61926.6
291413.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506202040801001201403478

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#17
18.51.1
20.919.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End9.1
blue by 8.1
619
#5
26.60.3
29.529.1
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Second
122
#23
13.51.1
15.214.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End1.5
red by 0.5
2914
#19
13.10.3
14.314.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Third
2068
#31
11.21.1
11.610.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End2.6
blue by 1.1
4099
#21
12.30.3
15.214.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsMissed