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Red42
447219.2
33919.7
55497.8
Blue35
253711.9
572417.4
68828.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534302060801004235

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#3
19.71.0
21.720.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End5.3
red by 2.2
5724
#13
17.40.4
17.216.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Second
4472
#11
19.21.0
20.519.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End3.5
red by 7.3
2537
#20
11.90.4
12.512.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Third
5549
#24
7.81.0
8.17.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End1.4
blue by 0.7
6882
#29
8.50.4
10.510.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed