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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403302060804824

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2988
#13
17.40.1
14.114.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End4.5
red by 5.2
3941
#34
12.21.9
11.69.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.7
End0.4
Second
2028
#11
15.10.1
14.414.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End4.0
red by 10.0
3274
#35
5.01.9
10.78.9
Auto2.4
Teleop0.6
End2.1
Third
3373
#16
13.30.1
9.09.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End3.7
red by 8.5
4464
#33
4.91.9
8.46.6
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed