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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41403545503150

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#19
20.21.2
17.015.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.1
End4.4
red by 1.2
19.01.3
13.615.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End9.6
Second
2199
#15
19.41.2
13.912.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End6.9
red by 3.2
3455
#14
16.31.3
12.914.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Third
611
#30
14.71.2
8.37.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6
red by 5.7
2186
#17
9.01.3
11.612.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsEarned