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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242253035404550553828

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4242
#10
18.40.9
14.813.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End5.1
red by 0.7
316
#21
17.71.3
15.514.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End3.2
Second
1731
#32
15.70.9
13.312.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End0.4
blue by 0.6
3455
#14
16.31.3
14.112.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Third
6504
#24
11.40.9
11.911.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End4.3
red by 1.9
1123
#27
9.51.3
9.98.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed