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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403310203050392

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#2
26.70.1
14.915.0
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End7.4
red by 13.4
3373
#16
13.33.3
12.39.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End3.7
Second
116
#12
15.40.1
11.211.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.7
End5.1
red by 8.5
6863
#28
6.93.3
8.65.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End2.4
Third
620
#36
9.40.1
12.112.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End1.5
red by 3.6
2819
#37
5.83.3
10.57.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed