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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47563040506070806364

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.3
20.822.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End7.7
blue by 3.9
26.00.7
24.124.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.4
End8.1
Second
190
#1
21.11.3
18.619.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End7.8
red by 5.1
5957
#11
16.00.7
14.915.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.6
End3.6
Third
617
#36
5.81.3
4.65.8
Auto1.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
blue by 9.4
3939
#17
15.20.9
14.415.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned