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Red23
97714.7
313610.0
633418.3
Blue59
595011.2
12214.8
83624.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50520204060801002359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6334
#18
18.31.6
19.918.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End5.4
blue by 6.3
836
#11
24.70.7
26.026.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End7.5
Second
977
#20
14.71.6
16.615.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Level
122
#22
14.80.7
13.113.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Third
3136
#32
10.01.6
10.79.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.6
blue by 1.2
5950
#25
11.20.7
9.810.4
Auto2.2
Teleop5.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsEarned