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Red54
99909.9
141314.6
34630.9
Blue47
90014.6
595715.5
38418.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58532040801005447

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#8
30.90.1
33.533.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.4
End8.7
red by 12.1
384
#5
18.80.2
20.820.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End7.0
Second
1413
#29
14.60.1
15.815.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End1.4
blue by 0.9
5957
#17
15.50.2
15.315.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.2
End2.0
Third
9990
#12
9.90.1
5.75.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.1
blue by 4.7
900
#23
14.60.2
13.913.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned64%HAB Docking oddsMissed