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Red82
204636.7
413123.2
635016.7
Blue59
292715.8
299028.9
307014.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80542040601008259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.2
39.740.0
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End9.3
red by 7.9
28.90.6
24.424.9
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End5.5
Second
4131
#12
23.20.2
20.620.9
Auto3.2
Teleop16.9
End3.1
red by 7.5
2927
#21
15.80.6
11.411.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Third
16.70.2
15.415.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End4.0
red by 2.6
3070
#23
14.10.6
14.915.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
16%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed