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Red65
29296.5
49224.9
290721.9
Blue26
323710.9
29068.6
357420.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493910203060706526

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#11
24.91.3
21.022.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End7.8
red by 4.1
20.90.7
20.920.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End8.4
Second
21.91.3
19.821.1
Auto4.3
Teleop13.4
End4.3
red by 11.0
3237
#34
10.90.7
9.38.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End1.7
Third
2929
#19
6.51.3
5.46.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End2.0
blue by 2.1
2906
#32
8.60.7
6.45.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsMissed