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Red28
339311.8
307014.1
29068.6
Blue61
711813.9
357420.9
491815.4
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364802060801002861

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#23
14.10.4
14.313.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End2.3
blue by 6.7
20.90.4
18.218.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End8.4
Second
3393
#25
11.80.4
13.012.6
Auto5.8
Teleop3.3
End2.6
blue by 3.6
15.40.4
13.313.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End5.4
Third
2906
#32
8.60.4
7.06.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End3.0
blue by 5.3
7118
#22
13.90.4
13.814.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed76%HAB Docking oddsEarned