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Red56
491128.7
292613.4
593716.1
Blue69
32199.5
131825.8
299028.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616502040801001205669

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#10
28.70.7
27.426.7
Auto3.5
Teleop21.3
End3.9
blue by 0.1
28.90.3
27.327.6
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End5.5
Second
5937
#13
16.10.7
15.614.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End4.2
blue by 9.7
25.80.3
25.625.9
Auto2.7
Teleop15.8
End7.2
Third
2926
#14
13.40.7
14.914.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.0
End2.7
red by 3.9
3219
#24
9.50.3
8.38.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed71%HAB Docking oddsMissed