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Red57
413123.2
209713.7
457916.6
Blue30
339311.8
36847.8
635016.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554110203050607080905730

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#12
23.20.3
22.723.0
Auto3.2
Teleop16.9
End3.1
red by 6.5
16.70.8
17.917.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End4.0
Second
4579
#27
16.60.3
16.116.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
red by 4.8
3393
#25
11.80.8
12.611.8
Auto5.8
Teleop3.3
End2.6
Third
2097
#18
13.70.3
13.814.1
Auto2.9
Teleop8.1
End2.7
red by 6.0
3684
#28
7.80.8
8.67.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed