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Red45
387616.3
292715.8
32199.5
Blue81
491128.7
408923.4
29296.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415610203050607080904581

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3876
#17
16.30.4
14.815.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End3.7
blue by 12.4
4911
#10
28.71.9
26.728.6
Auto3.5
Teleop21.3
End3.9
Second
2927
#21
15.80.4
15.716.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End2.7
blue by 7.7
23.41.9
21.423.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End8.2
Third
3219
#24
9.50.4
8.69.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End2.0
red by 3.1
2929
#19
6.51.9
4.76.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsEarned