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Red39
445015.9
491511.8
209713.4
Blue19
558813.1
69599.2
29069.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36250102030506070803919

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.2
14.915.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End4.0
red by 2.8
5588
#12
13.10.6
11.010.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Second
2097
#26
13.40.2
8.78.9
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End3.4
red by 4.2
6959
#37
9.20.6
6.96.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End1.6
Third
4915
#23
11.80.2
10.911.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.8
red by 2.7
2906
#32
9.10.6
6.15.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed