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Red49
297619.0
241216.3
33938.6
Blue16
36848.1
593713.4
29279.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412901020506070804916

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.01.1
14.515.6
Auto3.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
red by 5.6
5937
#16
13.41.3
11.710.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End4.2
Second
2412
#15
16.31.1
13.014.0
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End3.9
red by 6.4
2927
#28
9.91.3
5.84.5
Auto2.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Third
3393
#19
8.61.1
11.712.8
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End1.9
red by 0.5
3684
#33
8.11.3
10.28.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed