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Red39
358814.9
746110.3
125816.8
Blue53
241216.3
558813.1
468110.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38350501001502003953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.3
15.115.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End3.5
red by 0.5
2412
#15
16.32.2
14.016.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End3.9
Second
14.90.3
12.512.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.5
red by 1.8
5588
#12
13.12.2
10.512.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Third
7461
#21
10.30.3
8.58.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End2.9
blue by 0.3
4681
#36
10.62.2
8.610.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed