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Red15
29294.5
56811.3
65037.3
Blue34
32188.8
69599.2
36848.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22270103040501534

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
568
#34
11.30.7
8.17.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.3
red by 2.2
6959
#37
9.20.9
6.35.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End1.6
Second
6503
#29
7.30.7
7.97.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.3
End2.1
blue by 1.6
3218
#24
8.80.9
10.59.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.0
End2.2
Third
2929
#38
4.50.7
5.24.5
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.3
End2.3
blue by 3.6
3684
#33
8.10.9
8.98.1
Auto4.1
Teleop1.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed