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Red50
446920.2
430914.7
36014.8
Blue45
451312.0
298016.4
292819.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4540102030506070805045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#12
20.20.8
13.414.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End5.8
red by 0.9
19.30.4
13.514.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End4.0
Second
360
#7
14.80.8
16.317.1
Auto5.5
Teleop1.5
End7.8
blue by 1.6
2980
#18
16.40.4
12.212.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Third
4309
#11
14.70.8
13.113.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End4.5
red by 2.7
4513
#29
12.00.4
12.312.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed