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Red52
408911.8
451217.4
381215.9
Blue53
457912.0
30497.9
198319.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332810203040505253

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.42.3
16.518.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End5.2
blue by 2.2
19.53.0
14.016.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End5.8
Second
15.92.3
7.29.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End3.7
red by 3.9
4579
#22
12.03.0
8.011.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End3.2
Third
4089
#32
11.82.3
7.910.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End4.3
red by 3.9
3049
#16
7.93.0
4.47.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsEarned